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The 2024-2029 Commission Political Guidelines: Where Is Competition Policy Likely Headed?

By Johan Ysewyn, Thomas Barnett, Anne Lee, Christian Ahlborn, Kevin Coates, James Marshall, Sibel Yilmaz, Ross Evans, Laurie-Anne Grelier, Horst Henschen, Anna Lubberger, Carole Maczkovics, Melissa Van Schoorisse & Alessandro Cogoni on July 22, 2024
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On 18 July 2024, the current President of the European Commission (“Commission”), Ursula von der Leyen, was reconfirmed by the European Parliament for a second 5-year term. As part of her reconfirmation, President von der Leyen delivered a speech before the European Parliament, complemented by a 30-page program, which lays down the Commission’s political program for the next five years.

A key pillar of the program – “A new plan for Europe’s sustainable prosperity and competitiveness” – has the objective of combining competitiveness and prosperity with the achievement of the European Green Deal goals.

Specifically on competition policy, according to President von der Leyen, a new approach is needed to achieve this objective. This blog post projects where competition policy is likely headed in the 2024-2029 period by commenting on the most relevant paragraphs of the program.

Von der Leyen: “I believe we need a new approach to competition policy, better geared to our common goals and more supportive of companies scaling up in global markets – while always ensuring a level playing field. This should be reflected in the way we assess mergers so that innovation and resilience are fully taken into account. We will ensure competition policy keeps pace with evolving global markets and prevents market concentration from raising prices or lowering the quality of goods or services for consumers. We will look at all of our policies through a security lens.”

  • This statement reaffirms the classic principles underlying competition law, i.e., the focus on ensuring a level playing field, preventing market concentration, and ultimately avoiding a negative impact on prices/quality of goods or services.
  • However, the President’s comments recognize the impact of global dynamics and the need for EU companies to be able to respond to global pressures. In the context of Siemens/Alstom and Lufthansa/ITA, there is growing pressure from EU Member States to allow European champions and this program could signal an openness to that effect.
  • The President also calls for an increased focus on innovation and resilience in the substantive assessment of mergers. This could mean (i) that the Commission will expand its assessment of the impact of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards and security, (ii) that the Commission would be open to a greater role of wider efficiency justifications/public interest considerations in merger control and competition law assessments, and/or (iii) that the impact on the overall economic competitiveness of the EU, and the aim of geopolitical de-risking for critical supply chains and technologies, may play an increasingly important role in the assessment of mergers.

Von der Leyen: “We also need to better support firms whose size and financing capacity cannot be compared to large corporations. They are often the target of killer acquisitions from foreign companies seeking to eliminate them as a possible source of future competition.”

  • The President stresses the importance for the Commission of being able to intervene to assess so-called “killer acquisitions”, notably by non-EU companies. In a number of cases, these transactions by larger, established companies, in a number of cases based outside of the EU, were not notifiable due to the target’s relatively small turnover.
  • The President’s comment is likely a reference to the application of Article 22 of the EU Merger Regulation (“EUMR”) and Article 102 TFEU in the context of the Towercast judgment which holds that national competition authorities and courts can review acquisitions under abuse of dominance rules, even if those acquisitions are not notifiable under EU or national merger control laws.
  • Pending the Court of Justice ruling in Illumina/Grail, which will clarify the Commission’s power to review concentrations not meeting the EU merger control thresholds on the basis of Art. 22 EUMR, and given the uncertainties linked with the application of Article 102 TFEU to concentrations (even after the Court of Justice’s judgment in Towercast), this comment by the President suggests that the Commission could seek to achieve this objective even through a legislative initiative, if necessary.
  • The President’s comment also seems to suggest that the Commission would consider using its powers under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation to call-in the notifications of such concentrations, where facilitated by foreign subsidies, even if these would not meet the thresholds for compulsory notification.

Von der Leyen: “Looking ahead, the Clean Industrial Deal must enable us to invest more together in clean and strategic technologies and in energy intensive industries. The future of the clean and cutting-edge tech industry must be made in Europe. This is why I will put forward a new European Competitiveness Fund as part of our proposal for a new and reinforced budget in the next multiannual financial framework. This investment capacity will invest in strategic technologies – from AI to space, clean tech to biotech – to ensure that we develop strategic technologies and manufacture them here in Europe. And it will ensure that we use the power of our budget to leverage and de-risk private investment in our common goals. I will propose a revision of the Public Procurement Directive. This will enable preference to be given to European products in public procurement for certain strategic sectors.”

  • The program suggests the creation of a new “European Competitiveness Fund”, dedicated to the EU industrial policy. This may be a lesser version of the EU Sovereignty Fund aimed at levelling the support capacity throughout the EU, that was announced by the Commission with its Green Deal Industrial Plan (“GDIP”), but rejected by (some) EU Member States.
  • This new fund could replace the Strategic Technologies for Europe Platform (“STEP”) adopted in February 2024 and repackaging various EU funds to allow EU institutions or EU Member States give more support to large business for establishing production facilities (see our blog post on amended regional aid rules to foster support for strategic technology projects).
  • Instead of having various funds to support the development and manufacturing of strategic technologies, the “European Competitiveness Fund” may simplify access to public funding through a centralised fund.
  • EU Member States with less funding capacity may be able to draw from that fund to grant State aid for the development and manufacturing of strategic technologies, for cohesion purposes (under the Regional Aid Guidelines) and even outside of disadvantaged areas under (i) the “Chips Act” Communication, for the construction of chips manufacturing facilities, or (ii) the “Temporary Crisis and Transition Framework” (“TCTF”), for facilities manufacturing equipment relevant for the transition towards a net-zero economy until the end of 2025 (e.g., batteries, solar panels, wind turbines, heat-pumps, electrolysers, carbon capture usage and storage, as well as key components and critical raw materials to produce such equipment) (see our blog post on this here).

Von der Leyen: “We will start by focusing on the implementation and enforcement of the digital laws adopted during the last mandate. Tech giants must assume responsibility for their enormous systemic power in our society and economy. We have begun the active enforcement of the Digital Services Act and the Digital Markets Act. We will ramp up and intensify our enforcement in the coming mandate. We will support this by tackling challenges with e-commerce platforms to ensure consumers and businesses benefit from a level playing field based on effective customs, tax and safety controls and sustainability standards. Reaching our digital targets and building a true digital single market would be a gamechanger for our productivity and competitiveness.”

  • The Commission aims to intensify the Digital Markets Act (“DMA”) and Digital Services Act (“DSA”) enforcement. Under the DMA, the Commission has currently designated 7 gatekeepers and 24 core platform services and opened 6 investigations for non-compliance with DMA obligations. As stated by the President, the objective is the creation of a “true digital single market.”
  • In its recent ByteDance judgment, the General Court confirmed the Commission’s decision designating ByteDance as a gatekeeper. The judgment also discussed some key concepts of the DMA, which might provide more legal guidance to digital businesses in their assessment of the DMA.

Von der Leyen: “I will make IPCEIs simpler and faster to get financed and off the ground. The first new set of common projects will be proposed in early 2025.”

  • Important Projects of Common European Interest (“IPCEI”) are large cross-border projects financed by EU Member States (at least four) to overcome market failures or social challenges and to create positive spill-over effects for the EU economy.
  • The Commission relies on ad-hoc guidelines to assess IPCEI compliance with State aid provisions and so far authorised ten IPCEIs, involving 22 EU Member States and 247 different companies (see our blog post on this here).
  • Since the authorisation process is still lengthy, new streamlined IPCEI rules, already announced in the GDIP and confirmed in the program, will be very welcome. At the moment, based on the available decisions, 16 months elapse on average between the pre-notification of the projects and their authorisations by the Commission.

Von der Leyen: “The more aggressive posture and unfair economic competition from China, its “no limits” friendship with Russia – and the dynamics of its relationship with Europe – reflect a shift from cooperation to competition.”

  • The President refers to the competition coming from subsidised non-EU companies, against which the Commission appears ready to use the whole toolkit at its disposal. In particular, the Foreign Subsidies Regulation (“FSR”), adopted at the end of 2022, has been pitched by the EU as a key tool to remedy perceived distortions of competition in the EU caused by foreign subsidies (for a complete overview, see our blog).
  • The FSR enforcement has so far led to two public procurement investigations involving Chinese State-owned manufacturers of clean tech (Longi and Shanghai Electric) and rolling stocks (CRRC). No remedies or prohibitions were imposed as those Chinese companies withdrew their bids. In addition, an investigation into the acquisition by e&, majority owned by the UAE government through an Emirates Sovereign Wealth Fund (“SWF”), of a telecom business in Central Europe, and two ex officio investigations into Chinese manufacturers of wind turbines and of security equipment are still ongoing.
  • The FSR, together with trade investigations (such as the anti-subsidy investigation concerning electric vehicles from China) and the relaxation of the parallel EU state aid framework, will likely generate higher trade frictions, especially with China, which is now questioning the legitimacy of the FSR before the WTO. This may complicate non-EU companies’ investments in the EU, in a context where EU State aid rules are being relaxed to foster the EU manufacturing of certain equipment and components, currently sourced overseas.
  • This shift from cooperation to competition may also result in a stricter approach under foreign investment control regimes and may also influence the merger control assessment, allowing the creation of European champions.
Photo of Johan Ysewyn Johan Ysewyn

Johan Ysewyn advises on all aspects of EC, international and Belgian antitrust law, including merger control, compliance, cartel and leniency issues and abuse of dominance cases.  He acts as the head of the firm’s EU Competition group, working from our Brussels and London…

Johan Ysewyn advises on all aspects of EC, international and Belgian antitrust law, including merger control, compliance, cartel and leniency issues and abuse of dominance cases.  He acts as the head of the firm’s EU Competition group, working from our Brussels and London offices.

Mr. Ysewyn’s practice has a strong focus on global and European cartel investigations and he has represented companies from a range of sectors.  He is also one of the leading experts on EU state aid issues, working both for beneficiaries and governments.

He regularly speaks at conferences such as GCR, IBC, IBA, Chatham House and other industry events and has written for numerous legal publications.  He is recognised as a leading competition lawyer by Chambers, Legal 500 and other leading industry guides.  Mr. Ysewyn has acted as a non-governmental advisor to the International Competition Network (ICN).

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Photo of Thomas Barnett Thomas Barnett

Thomas Barnett is co-chair of the firm’s Antitrust & Competition Law Practice Group. Mr. Barnett served as Assistant Attorney General in charge of the Justice Department’s Antitrust Division. He headed the Antitrust Division from 2005 to 2008, having previously served in the Division…

Thomas Barnett is co-chair of the firm’s Antitrust & Competition Law Practice Group. Mr. Barnett served as Assistant Attorney General in charge of the Justice Department’s Antitrust Division. He headed the Antitrust Division from 2005 to 2008, having previously served in the Division as Deputy Assistant Attorney General for Civil Enforcement from 2004 to 2005. He specializes in global antitrust and competition law practice and works closely with the firm’s white collar practice on criminal antitrust enforcement and investigative matters.

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Photo of Anne Lee Anne Lee

Anne Lee, co-chair of the firm’s global Antitrust and Competition Law Practice Group, advises clients in complex antitrust litigation matters, strategic transactions, and government investigations. She represents clients before the DOJ and FTC on multi-jurisdictional mergers, competitor collaborations, and joint ventures, and she…

Anne Lee, co-chair of the firm’s global Antitrust and Competition Law Practice Group, advises clients in complex antitrust litigation matters, strategic transactions, and government investigations. She represents clients before the DOJ and FTC on multi-jurisdictional mergers, competitor collaborations, and joint ventures, and she has litigated cases at the trial and appellate levels in both state and federal courts. Ms. Lee also provides antitrust counseling on a wide range of business conduct and compliance issues. A recognized leader in the area, Ms. Lee has been named to the “40 Under 40” rankings of both The National Law Journal and Global Competition Review.

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Photo of Christian Ahlborn Christian Ahlborn

For more than 20 years Christian Ahlborn has been advising multinational corporates, banks and other institutions on all aspects of global competition law, combining an in-depth understanding of the subject with a pragmatic approach.

Christian is qualified in England & Wales and in…

For more than 20 years Christian Ahlborn has been advising multinational corporates, banks and other institutions on all aspects of global competition law, combining an in-depth understanding of the subject with a pragmatic approach.

Christian is qualified in England & Wales and in Germany and is widely recognized as a market-leading competition lawyer. He is also a trained economist. Christian belongs to a small group of antitrust practitioners who can bring both a legal and economic perspective to a case.

Christian advises major corporates, banks and institutions on all areas of global competition law. He has a broad range of experience in EU competition law, particularly in relation to complex M&A, behavioral antitrust work, control of dominance issues and State aid control. He is well-known for extensive work on high-profile matters.

Christian’s experience spans many industry sectors, with particular experience in financial services, IT, fast-moving consumer goods and mining.

During his career Christian has been seconded to the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Competition and to the Bundeskartellamt. He is also well known on the Brussels market.

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Photo of Kevin Coates Kevin Coates

Kevin Coates advises clients on critical antitrust matters drawing on his extensive public sector experience in the Directorate-General for Competition of the European Commission (“DG COMP”), most recently as Head of a Cartel Unit.

His practice has a particular focus on advising companies…

Kevin Coates advises clients on critical antitrust matters drawing on his extensive public sector experience in the Directorate-General for Competition of the European Commission (“DG COMP”), most recently as Head of a Cartel Unit.

His practice has a particular focus on advising companies in the electronics, technology, software and e-commerce sectors.

Mr. Coates advises on all aspects of EU, UK and international competition law, including merger control, compliance, cartels and leniency, and abuse of dominance.

Mr. Coates served as Head of a Cartel Unit at the Directorate-General for Competition (“DG Comp”) at the European Commission between 2012 and 2016. Prior to this, he held several positions within DG Comp, over nearly 20 years in total, including advising the Director General of DG Comp on policy and communications issues, and overseeing competition cases in the telecoms and media sectors. While working for the Director General he was one of the team that produced the Guidance on Enforcement Priorities under Article 102.

He was also a visiting research fellow at NYU School of Law in 2009-2010.

Prior to joining DG Comp, he served as in-house Counsel at AOL Europe where he was responsible for antitrust and regulatory issues for AOL subsidiary companies in the UK, Germany, France and the Netherlands.

Mr. Coates is the author of “Competition Law and Regulation of Technology Markets” published by Oxford University Press in 2011.

Mr. Coates is co-chair of Covington’s Internet of Things (IoT) group, and leads the firm’s Brexit Task Force.

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Photo of James Marshall James Marshall

James Marshall advises on all aspects of competition law and sector regulation and regularly counsels clients on merger control, investigations and enforcement, commercial deals, abuse of dominance, sector regulation, and compliance. Earlier in his career, Mr. Marshall worked with the UK Competition and…

James Marshall advises on all aspects of competition law and sector regulation and regularly counsels clients on merger control, investigations and enforcement, commercial deals, abuse of dominance, sector regulation, and compliance. Earlier in his career, Mr. Marshall worked with the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), where he helped develop the UK’s antitrust and regulated sector enforcement regimes. Clients turn to Mr. Marshall to help them find innovative solutions to complex antitrust enforcement, merger and counselling matters, particularly in regulated sectors.

Mr. Marshall represents clients before UK, EU, and global regulators across a number of industries and has particular expertise in the infrastructure, energy, transport and utilities sectors. He has also advised on numerous complex global financial services cases, and has strong experience advising in the consumer, digital, communications, and sports sectors.

Mr. Marshall practiced for several years in the Asia-Pacific region. He has experience advising on competition, regulatory, and public policy issues in Asia and the Middle East.

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Photo of Sibel Yilmaz Sibel Yilmaz

Sibel Yilmaz advises on all aspects of competition law and foreign investment within the EU, the Nordics and internationally, with a focus on life sciences, technology and private equity.

Sibel has particular expertise in the life sciences sector and has been involved in…

Sibel Yilmaz advises on all aspects of competition law and foreign investment within the EU, the Nordics and internationally, with a focus on life sciences, technology and private equity.

Sibel has particular expertise in the life sciences sector and has been involved in some of the industry’s most high profile matters in recent years, including representing Novartis on its $30 billion acquisition of GSK’s oncology business, advising Takeda on its sale of certain respiratory products to AstraZeneca and representing clients in several investigations relating to alleged excessive prices and other non-competitive practices in the life science sector.

Sibel is ranked among the world’s top antitrust practitioners by Global Competition Review, who included her in their most recent 40 Under 40 survey, as well as Chambers Global. She is described as “a brilliant and promising lawyer, who is highly recommended for complex merger work” and “an exceptional talent”, “absolutely a tip for the top.”

Sibel received her LL.M. in Law and Economics from the University of Rotterdam and Master of Law from Stockholm University and is admitted to practice in Belgium and Sweden.

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Photo of Laurie-Anne Grelier Laurie-Anne Grelier

Laurie-Anne Grelier Laurie-Anne Grelier assists global companies, especially Asian multinationals, with navigating complex areas of European competition law, including antitrust and cartel investigations, the clearance of mergers, the structuring of distribution, collaborative and other commercial arrangements, and issues related to abuse of dominant…

Laurie-Anne Grelier Laurie-Anne Grelier assists global companies, especially Asian multinationals, with navigating complex areas of European competition law, including antitrust and cartel investigations, the clearance of mergers, the structuring of distribution, collaborative and other commercial arrangements, and issues related to abuse of dominant position. Ms. Grelier also assists these companies in litigation before the European Courts, as well as with state aid and trade matters.

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Photo of Anna Lubberger Anna Lubberger

Anna Lubberger’s practice focuses on European and German antitrust law. She has significant experience in EU and international merger control matters and has been involved in complex merger reviews. In addition, Anna advises clients in a broad range of antitrust matters, including cartel…

Anna Lubberger’s practice focuses on European and German antitrust law. She has significant experience in EU and international merger control matters and has been involved in complex merger reviews. In addition, Anna advises clients in a broad range of antitrust matters, including cartel investigations, anticompetitive agreements, abusive dominance cases, vertical restraints, antitrust litigation and compliance.

Anna’s experience covers various industries, notably the consumer goods, chemical, pharmaceutical, automotive, digital and sports industries.

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Photo of Carole Maczkovics Carole Maczkovics

Carole Maczkovics has developed a cutting-edge expertise in State aid law, regulation of network industries and public contracts (including subsidies, public procurement, concessions, and management contracts) with the Belgian and European authorities.

Carole has a proven track record of advising public and private…

Carole Maczkovics has developed a cutting-edge expertise in State aid law, regulation of network industries and public contracts (including subsidies, public procurement, concessions, and management contracts) with the Belgian and European authorities.

Carole has a proven track record of advising public and private entities, which she successfully represents in administrative and judicial proceedings on complex state aid, public procurement and regulatory issues before the European Commission as well as before the Belgian and European courts.

She has published many articles on State aid law and on network industries, and contributes to conferences and seminars on a regular basis.

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Photo of Melissa Van Schoorisse Melissa Van Schoorisse

Melissa Van Schoorisse is a special counsel who focuses on a wide range of complex antitrust issues, including multi-jurisdictional merger control filings, international and Belgian cartel investigations, state aid matters, and general behavioral advice, counselling and compliance work.

Ms. Van Schoorisse has represented…

Melissa Van Schoorisse is a special counsel who focuses on a wide range of complex antitrust issues, including multi-jurisdictional merger control filings, international and Belgian cartel investigations, state aid matters, and general behavioral advice, counselling and compliance work.

Ms. Van Schoorisse has represented international and Belgian clients from a wide variety of industries, including the transport, media, consumer goods, power generation and energy fields.

Ms. Van Schoorisse has – prior to joining Covington – gained extensive experience as an associate at two international law firms in Brussels, and as a secondee to the in-house competition team of a multinational oil and gas company in London, dealing with a wide array of vertical issues, cartel investigations, M&A transactions, and compliance training.

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Photo of Alessandro Cogoni Alessandro Cogoni

Alessandro Cogoni is an associate in Covington’s competition team. He advises international companies from a wide variety of industries on all aspects of EU competition law, including State aid, foreign subsidies, multi-jurisdictional merger control filings and antitrust investigations.

Read more about Alessandro Cogoni
  • Posted in:
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  • Blog:
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  • Organization:
    Covington & Burling LLP
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