It’s scary out there. Ethan Mollick is on the mark:
Where we are with AI is that continuous improvement seems to still be occurring at a fast pace, with no signs of a slowdown. However, since major AI releases have accelerated and seem to be happening monthly or faster, any one release can feel incremental, yet looking back 6-8 months reveals massive improvements. This confuses the two major groups of AI commentators:
1) If you follow every release like a sport, then each individual model change feels small.
2) If you haven’t really followed AI and just use it occasionally, you don’t realize how much things have changed in 6 months because you don’t bother to use the latest models or try them on hard tasks.